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Thursday, March 17, 2011

Survivor: Donkey Poker Round 10 (bye!)

My back is killing me, and I'm feeling a bit sick and salty. Ugh.

Played the opener of AIPS VI last night. Freaking Stud. I hate stud. Invitation for every momo to sit there with trash and try to spike running cards on sixth and seventh b/c they think they're priced in, even when they aren't. Got in a bad mood and made it worse my spewing off my stack and finishing 40/45.

Moo(yournamehere)kie was a wonderment of getting raised on the turn or river when I'm holding a polarized bluffcatcher every freaking time - and realizing villains were more likely going for value instead of bluffing. Anyway, I jammed 15BB on a flip and lost it to bounce 21/29.

And apparently I got voted off last night. (guessing from emails and posts - I was so tired I fell asleep at 11:30). Which I could see coming a mile away.

****

I seriously doubt I'm screwing up anyone's future plans by stating the obvious. Goat already did. and it didn't change anything. Whatever is in motion is already set, I'm certain.

Team Donkey had everything worked out with a nice 7-4 advantage until VeryJosie started sniffing around looking for post-merge alliances. It was a smart move that really shouldn't have worked, but it Jedi Mind Trick'd everyone.

I'll admit fault here - it was easy for Goat and I to believe that Jordan and Jamyhawk would go off with VJ and do their own thing. I was not the best consigliere, obviously.

That triggered the whole Jordan/Goat fiasco where somehow it became more important to plan three, four steps ahead instead of just taking out one Fish at a time.

Goat leaving was the turning point. If he survives that vote, all of us Donkeys should have been home free and the game completely changes.

Even then, things weren't over yet - I actually tried to rally everyone around a simple team line vote once we got down to 5-4 - but Kat didn't play or vote that night, and Jamyhawk outsmarted himself by playing both sides of the street to try and prolong his stay - and got himself voted off a lot faster as a result. More Joe C genius.

Basically, no one on Team Donkey is going to get any further than they would have if we all would have just stuck together, voted off all the Fish, and then let everything rip - if that's wrong, then BrainMc and muhctim are crafty supergeniuses. What was the point of team play if we were going to just piss away our substantial advantage to begin with?

It's instructive that outside of VJ, no one else still left in this game has hardly blogged about anything Survivor-related. Which makes for very little buzz, but is probably best from a strategic standpoint to have a information blackout.

Anyway, much like Captain Ramius, it's likely VeryJosie has already figured out how to get the crew/donks off the boat and take this Team Fish ship into port FTW. There may be more palace intrigue, but probably not until we get down to 4 players. I think all of us in the game would be surprised if any other scenario played out.

I suspect once it's said and done, it will be revealed to be a lot simpler and easier than anyone thought. Of course, I'm certainly missing some vital intel, but still, it couldn't have been that complicated. She's a wizard. Or a Terminator, I can't decide which... There were two people I figured were dangerous in this game. VeryJosie's proven that half of the analysis was way good.

I second everyone's overall reaction to Donkey Island - freaking supergenius concept. I'd do it again, but next time around there really should be 16 new players - at least I hope so. It's too silly and fun an idea to pass up.

****

I still owe some $20 bonuses for the leaders at the break. I'll get those out later today.
But that's the end of the Heff superbounty for the moment.
Only goot while I'm still on the Island.

I swear I've been so freaking tired and distracted lately it's hard to find time for a decent session.
I need to get back to playing non-blogger tourneys and make some money.

Well, I need to get a job too. Priorities, of course.

But, I do get to sit at home with BabyGirlHeff today and watch the NCAAs.
Which is silly, since I haven't watched college basketball all year.

I do have a good feeling about the Commonwealth's entries, though - between George Mason, VCU and ODU, there's a Sweet Sixteen flyer in there somewhere for Virginia. Yeah, I know that would involve a #1 seed going out this weekend. Just a hunch....

5 comments:

Julius_Goat said...

GG Heff. You did your best.

I predict Brain and Muchtim I suspect are out next 2 as a reward for helping vote out their fellow donks.

Joe C for the win.

Josie said...

GG my man, but I have no idea what you're talking about. :)

Gary said...

Josie is neither vamp nor Jedi nor supergenius. What she is, is Sicilian, and that's plenty.

BTW your Captcha phrase sums up your post well: moronyme, like moron, why me? hahahahahaha

(in this case the moron is the Sicilian woman)

HighOnPoker said...

Incidentally, I look forward to posting my Survivor Poker strategy post at a later date. I don't want to mess with anyone's current game. But when I do, I'm very curious to see what you think.

BTW, the turning point was not losing Goat, it was losing me. If you don't lose me, you don't lose Goat.

Josie said...

Jordan, I'm so looking forward to that once the game is over. Thanks so much for waiting. Those of us still in the game appreciate it!