funny, I don't feel lucky...

for what it's worth, I think this is about as accurate an interpretation of my game as any...

http://corporationpoker.blogspot.com/2009/09/worstbeatever.html

He has to be the luckiest motherfuckin' blogger who has ever walked the earth. I have seen him put so many horrific beats on so many people it is just sick. I used to hate his game but anyone who gets that deep that much is not a fluke. He is a very good player.

I put myself in a lot of sticky spots, where when I get there, it's OMG YOU RUCKBOX.

Everyone forgets all the times I spew/get caught, don't get there, and hit the rail.

Now that I've had a chance to check all my tourney play, SnG and MTTs, over the last few years, a few trends are readily apparent.

1) It's not even funny how many 17 of 18, 54 of 57, 9 of 9, 85 of 90 type results are there. I can be busted early in a tournament pretty easily if you cooler me, or flop really well - I am very cavalier about my tournament life at that point.

2) I create a lot of my own luck. I push thin (or stupid) edges when I feel like the time is right. It can often look really, really bad. I usually do it when I'm short, or someone else is short, just to try to get back in the game or force someone else to make a tough decision for their stack. If I lose, no biggie, but if I get there, that might be the break I need right the ship and get back rolling.

Of course, I fast play my monsters the same way, so I tend to really get paid off when I actually do make a hand, which helps my overall play as well.

3) Positive ROI, up five figures lifetime in tournaments from $15 average buyins.
As dumb as it looks, it works.
The variance I court is more than made up by the times I get deep and get paid.

I really don't feel that lucky. I just gamble in spots where I feel like the payoff for winning is so much better than the downside of losing that I'll take the chance.